Primary Progress, Floor Standards & Coasting…

In the last week we’ve had a bit more detail about progress calculations (at last) and can now be a little clearer on how these fit with the new floor and coasting standards. There are a few changes to be aware of which I’l try to highlight, along with the explainer videos I’ve made.

Progress Measures from 2016

There has been one slight change to progress calculations since I made the video below back in the autumn. KS1 APS scores (which are effectively the baseline measure for progress until 2019), will be calculated slightly differently than originally planned. Rather than simply adding all 3 subjects together and dividing by 3, Maths will now count double to balance out the fact that English has two scored strands (for Reading & Writing).

One thing to note, which has caused a little confusion: the “group of pupils with the same KS1 APS score”, means all pupils in the country who had that score, not just other pupils in the same school/group. The video has been updated to reflect this.

Floor & Coasting Standards

Again, there is a video to explain this here, with a few additional notes below:

Some things just to highlight:

  • There is a change from the old floor standards, in that schools who do not meet the 65% attainment threshold must instead meet all three progress measures, whereas until 2015 schools only had to be above at least one measure.
  • Similarly, for the coasting standard, while in 2014/15 it was enough to be above one measure, from 2016 schools must be above the necessary progress thresholds, unless they are already above the 85% attainment level.
  • The progress measures are school-level measures, as outlined in the first video. So a school where children, on average, made the same progress as others with similar starting points, would end up with a progress score of 0. Those doing slightly better than average with their pupils overall would have a positive score; those with more pupils doing less well than average would have a negative score.
  • Remember that progress scores are based on comparing pupils who had the same APS score at KS1, so a child who scored L2c Reading, L1 Writing and L3 maths would be considered to have the same starting point as one who had L3 Reading. L2a Writing and L2c Maths.

13 thoughts on “Primary Progress, Floor Standards & Coasting…

  1. […] Source: Primary Progress, Floor Standards & Coasting… […]

  2. H Ware 7 February 2016 at 7:40 am Reply

    Excellent explanation, thank you.

    Any thoughts on small cohorts? Mine can be 6-12 pupils. This swings statistics enormously and currently means only 100% progress for the cohort can be above national in most years.

    • Michael Tidd 7 February 2016 at 10:40 am Reply

      I’m fairly certain that the floor standards won’t apply to schools with fewer than 11 eligible pupils… So looks like you’ll be in and out in different years.

  3. julietgreen 7 February 2016 at 2:02 pm Reply

    Many thanks for this. I’m not sure how any schools are going to be able to meet the expected standards in writing – are you?

    • Michael Tidd 7 February 2016 at 2:03 pm Reply

      I’m hoping the exemplification tomorrow might shed some light!

      • julietgreen 7 February 2016 at 2:06 pm Reply

        I’m thinking: meets ‘all’ the descriptors or nothing.

  4. Kate Cameron 7 February 2016 at 8:23 pm Reply

    This will mean if we have pupils’ KS1 APS scores (e.g. from Fischer Family Trust?) they won’t be right as Maths now counts twice…? Is that right? I’ve been asked by one of my governors to provide a prediction of our progress measures which I’ve said is completely impossible. Is that right too??? I can’t see how I would do it as the comparisons are to national averages which no-one knows until after the tests have been standardised.

    • Michael Tidd 7 February 2016 at 8:25 pm Reply

      I presume that FFT will quickly adjust their APS values if they’re currently calculated differently… Good point.
      And yes, definitely the case that progress measures are impossible to predict. Not just hard: impossible.

  5. Paul 8 February 2016 at 10:52 am Reply

    Thanks for this Michael ~ really helpful! Just a query though. Your video shows Writing progress for 2015 as being 97% whereas my RAISE (and DFE website) shows it to be 94%.

  6. stuartjjones 24 November 2016 at 4:59 pm Reply

    Am I right in thinking that we can’t use this for tracking children through KS2?

    • Michael Tidd 24 November 2016 at 5:12 pm Reply

      Certainly it would be tricky. Although the figures for the floor standard of -5 or -7 for each subject will stay the same (I think!), the calculations for individual pupils’ progress will change each year, because it is based on the new national averages for each year.

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