There’s been much discussion about this in the last few days, so I thought I’d summarise a few thoughts.
Firstly, many people seem to think that the government will be forced to review the use of a 65% floor standard in light of the fact that only 53% of pupils nationally met the combined requirements. In fact, I’d argue the opposite: the fact that so few schools exceed the attainment element of the floor standard is no bad thing. Indeed, I’d prefer it if no such attainment element existed.
There will be schools for whom reaching 65% combined Reading, Writing & Maths attainment did not require an inordinate amount of work – and won’t necessarily represent great progress. Why should those schools escape further scrutiny just because they had well-prepared intakes? Of course, there will be others who have met the standard through outstanding teaching and learning… but they will have great progress measures too. The 65% threshold is inherently unfair on those schools working with the most challenging intakes and has no good purpose.
That’s why I welcomed the new progress measures. Yes it’s technical, and yes it’s annoying that we won’t have it for another couple of months, but it is a fairer representation of how well a school has achieved in educating its pupils – regardless of their prior attainment.
That said, there will be schools fretting about their low combined Reading, Writing & Maths scores. I carried out a survey immediately after results were released, and so far 548 schools have responded, sharing their combined RWM scores. From that (entirely unscientific self-selecting) group, just 28% of schools had reached the 65% attainment threshold. And the spread of results is quite broad – including schools at both 0% and 100%.
The graph below shows the spread of results with each colour showing a band of 1/5th of schools in the survey. Half of schools fell between 44% and 66%.
As I said on the day the results were published – for a huge number of schools, the progress measure will become all important this year. And for that, we just have to wait.
Since posting, a few people have quite rightly raised the issue of junior/middle schools, who have far less control over the KS1 judgements (and indeed in middle schools, don’t even have control over the whole Key Stage). There are significant issues here about the comparability of KS1 data between infant/first schools and through primary schools (although not necessarily with the obvious conclusions). I do think that it’s a real problem that needs addressing: but I don’t think that the attainment floor standard does anything to address it, so it’s a separate – albeit important – issue.